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Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management, SecondEdition
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More About This Title Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management, SecondEdition

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YACOV Y. HAIMES, PhD, is the Lawrence R. Quarles Professor of Systems and Information Engineering and Civil Engineering and Founding Director of the Center for Risk Management of Engineering Systems established in 1987 at the University of Virginia, Charlottesville.
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Preface.

Acknowledgments.

PART I: FUNDAMENTALS OF RISK MODELING, ASSESSMENT, AND MANAGEMENT.

1. The Art and Science of Systems and Risk Analysis.

2. The Role of Modeling in the Risk Analysis Process.

3. Identifying Risk Through Hierarchical Holographic Modeling.

4. Decision Analysis.

5. Multiobjective Trade-Off Analysis.

6. Defining Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis.

7. Risk Filtering, Ranking, and Management.

PART II: ADVANCES IN RISK MODELING, ASSESSMENT, AND MANAGEMENT.

8. Risk of Extreme Events and the Fallacy of Expected Value.

9. Multiobjective Decision-Tree Analysis.

10. Multiobjective Risk Impact Analysis Method.

11. Statistics of Extremes: Extension of the PMRM.

12. Bayesian Analysis and the Prediction of Chemical Carcinogenicity.

13. Fault Trees.

14. Multiobjective Statistical Method.

15. Principles and Guidelines for Project Risk Management.

16. Applying Risk Analysis to Space Missions.

17. Risk Modeling, Assess ment, and Management of Terrorism.

18. Case Studies.

Appendix: Optimization Techniques.

Index.

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"…a wonderful reference…absolutely necessary for all of us who teach or apply the techniques and methods of risk." (Risk Analysis, October 2005)

"…should enable students…to be well fortified for applications once they are on the job. Those beyond that stage can look upon the book as a comprehensive and sound treatise." (Journal of Food Quality, October 2004)

“…highly readable…a must for those who want at least an outline of why politicians and financial advisors are so often wrong.” (Measurement & Control, Vol 38 (7), September 2005)

"...can serve as the lead work in graduate business or engineering classes on risk aversion...an excellent reference that will come in handy in...[risk management professionals'] daily work." (Quality Progress, February 2005)

"Professor Haimes' book is already a classic and the second edition is even better. Anyone wishing to make a wise investment with almost no risk but huge intellectual dividends, should consider immediately obtaining a copy of this fine book.” (IIE Transactions on Operations Engineering)

"Incorporating real world examples and case studies to illustrate the analytical methods under discussion, the book presents basic concepts as well as advanced material, avoiding complex mathematics whenever possible." (Journal of the American Water Resources Association)

"…this new edition offers an important resource for industry professionals as well as advanced graduate students in systems engineering." (Zentralblatt MATH, 1105, 85)

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