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- Wiley
More About This Title Gold Bubble: Profiting From Gold's Impending Collapse
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Many investors consider gold a "safe haven" that will shelter them from recessions, falling markets, and the depreciating value of currency. Many fail to realize, however, that investing in gold at these levels is extremely risky. "We Buy Gold" stores line busy streets, gold miners are no longer protecting themselves from a potential drop in prices, and gold is even being sold in vending machines. All this points to one thing: a gold bubble has formed and will collapse very soon, hurting investors, funds, and banks. In Gold Bubble: Profiting From Gold's Impending Collapse, Yoni Jacobs looks at how you can protect yourself.
Presenting an in-depth analysis of gold dating back over a hundred years, the book explores the structural factors that have allowed gold to form a bubble, why an investor psychology of fear and greed is leading to extremely speculative behavior, why gold will fall during an upcoming recession, what effect the dollar and the stock market will have on the future of gold prices, and how to profit from a gold collapse while the majority of investors lose out.
There are plenty of warning signs that gold is about to decline and this book will help you to get readyGold Bubble is the only book to argue that a gold bust is coming, going head-to-head with the herd mentalityFilled with practical advice on how to protect yourself and even profit from gold's collapse by being prepared for what's aheadWith gold prices up over 2,500 percent since 1970, and more than 600 percent since 1999, a bubble has formed and is on the verge of bursting. But until now, no one has been willing to publicly bet against the universal currency. With Gold Bubble you are ready to meet this challenge head on, and take advantage of what other investors won't even acknowledge.
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Yoni Jacobs, CMT, is Executive Director and Chief Investment Strategist for Chart Prophet LLC, an investment management company that utilizes its Perspective Outlook to make investment decisions based on a comprehensive mix of technical, fundamental, and behavioral analysis. A contributing author and Opinion Leader for Seeking Alpha, Jacobs has appeared on the Business News Network (BNN), CNN, and ABC News, and has been featured or quoted in Reuters, the Globe and Mail, the Financial Post, CBS MoneyWatch, and many other media outlets.
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Preface vii
Disclaimer xiii
CHAPTER 1 Why Gold? 1
Understanding Gold’s Surge 1
Why the ‘‘Gold Bugs’’ Are Wrong 4
CHAPTER 2 Bubble Enablers and Precipitating Factors 5
Removal of the Fixed Price for Gold in 1968 5
Poor Market Performance and Capital Diversion 6
Uncertainty 7
Currency Troubles 8
Emerging Market Growth and Demand 8
Hard to Value 9
Introduction of Gold ETFs 9
Former UK Prime Minister May Be Responsible for Gold Bubble 9
Illusion of Safety 13
Conclusion 13
CHAPTER 3 Signs of a Gold Bubble 15
Parabolic Price Increases 15
Massive Publicity 21
Overspeculation 29
Extreme Expectations 45
Conclusion 56
CHAPTER 4 Gold Takes On . . . 59
Deflation 59
Is Gold a Safe Haven During Recessions? 60
Gold versus Various Asset Classes: Ratio Analysis 63
Conclusion 65
CHAPTER 5 Price Analysis and Forecasts 67
Gold Bubble Anatomy: Is a Parabolic Spike Coming? 67
Gold’s Place in History: Elliott Waves 70
Price Target for Gold Collapse 77
Fibonacci Time Relationships 79
Seasonality 81
Conclusion 83
CHAPTER 6 What Does Gold Depend On? 85
Herd Mentality in the Stock Market 86
Are We Headed for Another Great Depression? 88
Market Cycle Predicts Recession 97
The Dangers of ETFs 104
What about the Dollar? 117
Emerging Market Troubles 123
Middle East Upheaval 136
European Crisis 139
Conclusion 141
CHAPTER 7 Calling the Top: Signs of Reversal 143
Lagging Mining Stocks Signal Reversals in Gold and Silver Prices 143
Bernanke and Buffett ‘‘Puzzled by Gold Rally’’ 149
Dollar Strength and Market Weakness 150
Declining Momentum 151
Big Guys Selling: ‘‘Smart’’ Money Leads the Way 152
Is the Commodity Run-Up about to Reverse Course? 154
Has the Bubble Popped? 165
CHAPTER 8 Ways to Profit from the Collapse of the Gold Bubble 167
Short Gold 167
Short Gold Miners 168
Options Strategies 168
Short Rare-Earths 169
Betting on History: A Gold-Platinum Pair Trade 170
Forget Gold, Buy Diamonds 171
Buy Stocks Instead 176
Buy Physical Property, or Invest in Housing Stocks? 177
Conclusion 186
CHAPTER 9 Other Investment Land Mines to Avoid 187
‘‘Cloud Nine’’ Computing: Sign of a Renewed Technology Bubble? 187
Betting against Facebook 193
Is IPO Mania Warning of a Tech Bubble 2.0? 206
Netflix: Setting Up for Disaster 213
Conclusion 231
Notes 235
About the Author 245
Index 247
